The 58.6% Illusion: Why the Fed's "Pause" Probability Is a Trap for Crypto Markets
The numbers hit my screen at 7 AM Taipei time. 58.6% probability of a Fed...
Projects
•
ChainChain
•
2026-08-26
#CME FedWatch
CME FedWatch related articles
The September Rate Hold Is a Trap: Decoding the Fed's Pro-Hawkish State Machine
The CME FedWatch data compiles. The output is unambiguous. September hold...
Editorial
•
0xSam
•
2026-08-22
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$81,563.4
+0.19%
ETH
Ethereum
$2,418.77
+0.07%
SOL
Solana
$103.95
+0.07%
BNB
BNB Chain
$716
-0.93%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.3
-0.26%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0798
-0.40%
ADA
Cardano
$0.2221
-0.85%
AVAX
Avalanche
$9.87
-1.40%
DOT
Polkadot
$1.12
-2.69%
LINK
Chainlink
$12.03
-2.42%
Fear & Greed
55
Greed
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202612
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$81,563.4
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,418.77
1
Solana
SOL
$103.95
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$716
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.3
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0798
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.2221
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$9.87
1
Polkadot
DOT
$1.12
1
Chainlink
LINK
$12.03
Hot Tags
Tools
All →Altseason Index
41
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔵
0x4774...0113
12h ago
Stake
4,551.06 BTC
🔵
0x32ae...290f
12h ago
Stake
2,544 ETH
🟢
0xa986...2b0d
1d ago
In
4,382 ETH
💡 Smart Money
0x372b...500b
Early Investor
-$0.3M
64%
0xe08c...7fef
Market Maker
+$3.1M
94%
0xae64...a5da
Early Investor
+$2.7M
90%